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94/95 Carbine hybrid?
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December 8, 2009 - 9:28 am
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Bert,
Thanks for correcting me on the retail price of an 1894.

As to steel prices, steel was an openly traded commodity on the stock exchange, pretty easy to find data. Most of the data is by month, so I just took the highest price for 1928.

I also have both the Midvale Steel Company & Crucible Steel Company’s product/sales catalogues from the mid 1920’s. And as I’m sure that you are aware, they were the main suppliers for Winchester’s barrel steel.

Yes I agree that Winchester’s management was frugal, you need to be to make a profit. But there is a difference between being frugal and compromising either the quality or the perceived quality of your product.

Winchester had brand reputation that they rabidly defended. Just think of the fallout /negative press that Winchester would have gotten had the public perceived Winchester was using surplus barrels on their guns. We saw this in 1964, a reputation that is hard to live down. Many to this day feel that anything Winchester produced after 1964 is a piece of junk, no matter how well made.

Now I’ve tried to explain from the manufacturing point of view and from the economic point of view why this was not practical. That the few dollars saved would not be worth the energy involved, and would have a negative impact on their reputation of quality.

I find myself in the untenable position of having to prove a negative (Winchester did not produce these). As you well know it’s a simple rule of logic that you cannot prove a negative. I cannot prove that Bigfoot & fairies don’t exist, or polar bears are not surfing off the California coast. All I can do is provide an inductive argument to make a conclusion probable …but not certain.

In past posts I have:
1. Described that Winchester would have had to make new or modify existing fixtures to produce these.

2. Described how Winchester broke one of the cardinal rules of mass production by making non standard parts.

3. Described (by the examples Bob R provided in his book) that these barrels were not modified using the same fixturing.

4.Identified issues with supportability once these guns left the factory

5. Shown that the savings would not have warranted the effort.

In short it just does not pass the common sense test.

Yet you have provided no evidence that these were factory produced. No mention in catalogues, no drawings, no fixtures, and no internal memo’s saying make it happen, no example in the Cody museum, and no listing in Winchester’s catalogue of guns that they turned over from the factory research department to the Cody museum.

So bottom line is that I’m done with this subject. My offer still stands that I will pay shipping both ways if someone wants’ to send me one (which I don’t see happening), and I will gladly “eat crow” if someone proves that Winchester originally produced these.

Mike

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December 8, 2009 - 9:56 am
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Maybe some rogue employee(s) made these for a small militant faction. Laugh

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December 8, 2009 - 1:20 pm
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Mike,

I’ll end with this:

Everyone makes mistakes, fortunately I’ve only had to endure a few regarding the Model 94 in the past years.
I’ve had over 20 years to decide on the originality of the "94/95" guns and feel they are truly factory anomolies.
I’ve examined more of them than anyone I know.
I’ve been absolutely anal about NOT putting anything in the book that I didn’t know or feel that was true or important to the collector – this book was devised as a guide for them. That is why I shy away from serial ranges vs dates and I don’t try to be a machinist and document every tiny engineering or screw thread change (not really important to a collector) although I do try to document all REALLY important changes that I find.
For the collector, and as a reference book for the collector, this type of information is no more than "filler" and there is PLENTY of important information to document without using filler. Engineering specs are readily available to those that want them. Such is the same with pictures of advertizing stuff, etc., I consider that to be in the memorabilia category. I had to fight with myself over including the packaging section.
I’m a nutso perfectionist as anyone who knows me will attest (especially my very patient wife).
I too will eat a massive amount of crow prepared to the liking of you or anyone else if these guns are proven to be fakes.

Regards,
Have a great holiday season.
I HATE crow!!!!! HaHa.
Bob

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December 9, 2009 - 2:00 pm
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.

Mike

You say Bert’s argument is not reasonable and yet yours is not reasonable or logical. Winchester would have the means, opportunity and MOTIVE to build such guns. An outside gunsmith would have means and just possibly the opportunity. The one glaring question that you have not answered is; WHAT WAS THE MOTIVE? No professional gunsmith would waste his valuable time with a project that not only would be unprofitable but prove quite costly. Are gunsmiths that stupid? I don’t think so.

Another flaw in your reasoning, you said "When a company as large as Winchester was, when you think of production you don’t think in numbers of one or two, or hundreds or even thousands but in terms of tens / hundreds of thousands." Is this the same company that would produce rifles in almost any configuration that a customer ordered? Even one-of-a-kind rifles could be and were ordered by customers. Then why would it be so difficult to produce 2000 variants that were all very similar?

No, the only reasonable explaination is presented herein by Bob and Bert.

.

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December 9, 2009 - 10:14 pm
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Guys I think its like Santa Claus, you either believe or you don’t. Laugh Doug

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December 10, 2009 - 3:03 am
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Just an added thought. In the time frame, pre-depression, how was Winchester doing? My thoughts are that IF the company was slowing down as most in the country were, and IF there were workers with more time, and IF there were these barrels not being used, then I could easily see how Winchester might use the down time to try other things. If after a thousand or two they decided it wasn’t going to work out or wasn’t worth the effort, they stopped. When times are hard, that’s when most companies try new and different things to keep going. That is exactly what I and others in this country are doing right now.
Gobbler

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December 10, 2009 - 7:06 am
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Of Course Santa is real, how else do you explain millions of gifts under millions of trees on the same morning.

Look, the bottom line is that I really don’t have a dog in this fight. I personally don’t own one, and my reputation is not hanging out there if these are proven to be bogus or real.

Truthfully; I hope that they are real, interesting 1894 variant.

It also makes other combinations possible…. An if Winchester would have put 1895 barrels on 1894’s then we should see 1886s with 1876 barrels, and 1892s with 1873 barrels, and 1894s with 1892 barrels mounted on them. Lots easier to do, and Winchester never threw perfectly good parts away.

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December 10, 2009 - 8:43 am
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Mike Hunter said
Truthfully; I hope that they are real, interesting 1894 variant.

It also makes other combinations possible…. An if Winchester would have put 1895 barrels on 1894’s then we should see 1886s with 1876 barrels, and 1892s with 1873 barrels, and 1894s with 1892 barrels mounted on them. Lots easier to do, and Winchester never threw perfectly good parts away.

Mike,

Actually what you will find, is a Model 1886 with a Model 1885 barrel on it. It is my belief that the "heavy" and "extra heavy" barreled Model 1886s were made using a No. 3 or No. 4 high-wall barrel blank. John Madl and I discussed this topic a few years ago while we were at one of the Cody shows.

Bert

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December 10, 2009 - 10:06 am
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Bert
Yes very familiar with John Madl and his work; very good friend of mine whom I’ve had many discussions with over a bottle of sour mash.

Agreed that Winchester probably used rifled 1885 “ BLANKS” for some 1886s ; calibers were the same, bore, grove, rate of twist & exterior tapers were the same.

Again these were blanks…not finished barrels converted to fit another rifle, slight difference.

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December 10, 2009 - 12:11 pm
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I’m just a novice on the subject, so I don’t have anything of import to add to the discussion, but I wanted to point out that I’m enthralled by this discussion.

For what it’s worth, the point made about odd projects during lean times is one that’s familiar to me. Not in the firearms industry, but in others, I’ve been involved in some somewhat strange mashups that served as bridges between successive platforms.

The difference between those projects and the 1894/95 hybrid is that the company that I worked for did not so jealously guard their reputation as Winchester did.

To me, the hybrid is plausible, but that really means next to nothing, since I’ve never seen one and only heard of it in the past couple of months.

Thanks for the collegial discussion.

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December 10, 2009 - 7:49 pm
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I have to take exception with all this talk about the frugality of Winchester. During WWI and for several years after Winchester was employing over 17500 people. Shifts were running around the clock. The majority of retirees I interviewed for my book were hired during the depression. They all mentioned, my Dad included, standing in lines several blocks long. Winchester was one of the few places hiring during the depression. These guys knew if they could get a foot in the door that they would have a job for life. This was the largest employment number period. During WW2 they only employed 13000. Some how that doesn’t sound like a business that was going to worry about a few extra bbls. to me.

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December 10, 2009 - 8:37 pm
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P.Muerrle said
I have to take exception with all this talk about the frugality of Winchester. During WWI and for several years after Winchester was employing over 17500 people. Shifts were running around the clock. The majority of retirees I interviewed for my book were hired during the depression. They all mentioned, my Dad included, standing in lines several blocks long. Winchester was one of the few places hiring during the depression. These guys knew if they could get a foot in the door that they would have a job for life. This was the largest employment number period. During WW2 they only employed 13000. Some how that doesn’t sound like a business that was going to worry about a few extra bbls. to me.

Hello Pauline,

Your mention WWI (which was an extremely busy time for the original W.R.A.Co.), and then you mention WW II. What you did not address was the Great Depression (which ocurred between those two events), and for many companies, it began before the big Stock Market crash of October of 1929. The absolute fact is this… the original W.R.A.Co. company (which existed from 1866 through 1930), went bankrupt, and was then bought out of receivership in early 1931 by the Western Cartridge Company (wholly owned by the Olin family). The guns in question were assembled during the dark days ust before the big storm. I (and several others, including Bob Renneberg) have had the opportunity to personally examine the guns in question… and none of us has any reason to doubt the validity of what they are. That in of itself speaks volumes for the topic at hand.

Best,
Bert

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December 11, 2009 - 5:09 am
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If you read all of my post I stated that I had issues with "the frugality" of Winchester during the depression era. I also stated that most all of the employees that I have interviewed were hired during that time or had relatives that were. They were one of the only places other than possibly the phone company that you could get a job around here at that so called "dark period". The period between wars according to anyone I have talked to that was employed there showed no big slowdown in production or purchase practices.
I’ll give you just a small example of their "frugality" with gun parts during the depression . If you lived around the plant during the winter you would see, once a week or so, a group of wagons going around the streets next to the plant. The company offered free firewood to any family who came out to ask for it. This "free firewood" was gun stocks, forearms, and even blanks that they considered scrap.
This was told to me by several employees, two who ended up lifers on the wiood line. These two guys also told me "what they considered scrap back then would never have been tossed out today".
I can give you many other examples like this, but the bottom line is Winchester according to any one I have spoken to was thriving during those years, no one recalls anyone asking for conservation of product.
They always, like any plant pushed for productivity and efficiency.

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December 11, 2009 - 6:43 am
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[/quote]I (and several others, including Bob Renneberg) have had the opportunity to personally examine the guns in question… and none of us has any reason to doubt the validity of what they are. That in of itself speaks volumes for the topic at hand. quote

So from what your are saying, you are THE WINCHESTER EXPERT, and how dare anyone doubt your expertise

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December 11, 2009 - 7:14 am
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Anyone can question anything, and they should ask questions. What I am saying is that I have interviewed more than a couple of hundred employees over the years. They are the people who worked there and gave first hand accounts of how the place operated. These were upper management all the way down to bench workers. Incidentally, it was the average bench workers who gave most of the incite to how things operated.
Another example of Winchester "frugality", during the Depression era the plant employeed several people full time just to clean spitoons.
It goes to show as in the case of most large corporations, just because bankruptcy looms it doesn’t necessarily change much. The same was true in the late 1980s, according to employees, when they faced bankruptcy again.

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December 11, 2009 - 8:00 am
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Mike Hunter said
So from what your are saying, you are THE WINCHESTER EXPERT, and how dare anyone doubt your expertise

Mike,

Please do not put words into my mouth for me. I simply stated that I (unlike yourself), and several other noted Winchester collectors, have had the opportunity to examine a number of the guns in question. First hand examination does give me a bit more "expertise", but it does not make me (and Bob Renneberg or Art Gogan) an undisputable "WINCHESTER EXPERT" as you so bluntly phrased it.

Please back off your high horse a bit, take a deep breath, and then consider this… this is supposed to be a friendly discussion among all of us that have an interest in it, and choose to participate. Hopefully along the way, each one of us learns something new.

Bert

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December 11, 2009 - 10:19 am
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Is it possible these carbines were ordered by the same person or company as a special order since they were all made in the same year?And maybe Winchester was reluctant to place the order, but because of the hard times did so anyway.

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December 11, 2009 - 10:59 am
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From what I’ve read here so far, anything is possible. Until some hard core documentation shows up connecting these guns to anything you can pretty much let your imagination run wild.

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December 11, 2009 - 12:09 pm
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Ok, I’ll get off my “high horse”,

Now during this entire conversation I’ve been providing reasons why I feel a 94/95 hybrid was impractical / improbable but, not impossible for Winchester to produce. Notice I said impractical / improbable but, not impossible.

I don’t doubt their existence; I just doubt that they were Winchester produced. Yes, I have actually seen one …..the barrel is sitting in my shop, Was it factory converted… my opinion ..No, but it did take dismantling the gun to identify its shortcomings.

Hopefully, one of these days, copies of these SN records will turn up, BUT until then all we can do is speculate. Maybe Pauline will turn something up in her vast holdings… if so I calll dibbs

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December 11, 2009 - 1:21 pm
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I would like to hear Roger,s opinion on this ❗

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