1894 extra light 32-40 production numbers|Winchester Rifles|Forum|Winchester Collector

Don,

The first thing to keep in mind, is that my survey only covers the non-letterable guns (serial range 354000 – 1079689).  In that range, I have thus far surveyed 9,720 Model 1894s.  Of that number, just 120 of them are ELWs (2.9%).  Of the 120 ELWs, just 7 of them are 32-40s (5.8%).

If my survey numbers are an accurate representation of the total, the numbers work out as follows;

1079689 – 353999 = 725,960 (total Model 1894s in survey serial range)

120 / 9,720 = 1.23% (surveyed ELW production percentage)

725,960 x 1.23% = 8,926 (extrapolated total ELWs in serial range)

8,926 x 5.8% = 518 (extrapolated ELWs in caliber 32-40).

This does not include the unknow number of 32-40 ELWs in the letterable range like your rifle.  However, we do know (from the ARMAX document) that 40,023 of the first 353,999 Model 1894s were 32-40s. If we assume that 1.23% of the 353,999 were ELWs (4,354), and that 5.8% were 32-40s, that would indicate that another 253 32-40 ELWs may exist, bringing the total to approximately 770.

Bert