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To restore a collectible Winchester or not?
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Pete Hynard
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March 25, 2026 - 1:39 pm
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To restore a collectible Winchester or not?

That is a question you often see asked on the WACA Forum.  The conventional wisdom is, no, don’t do it.  Once a collectible item has been altered, it loses originality (and dollar value).

Turnbull Restoration holds the other view – that a quality restoration that is completely faithful to the original preserves its historical value.  To quote the Turnbull website, “When someone asks if restoration will affect the value of the firearm, remind them that the Statue of Liberty, the Washington Monument, the Star Spangled Banner and… the Declaration of Independence have all undergone restoration…”.

We have the unique opportunity to test these opposing views.  Currently, two Winchester Model 1876s are up for auction on the Kidd Family Auction in Melancthon, Ontario.  Both have certified NWMP provenance and they both come with the paperwork to prove it.  One is an unaltered original rated by the auctioneer as VG condition, including the bore.  The other has been restored by Turnbull Restoration and is rated as EXCELLENT.

These two rifles are being offered in the same auction on the same day.  Bidding is open now.   At the time of writing the current bids are $7,050 CAD for the unaltered rifle and $7,600 CAD for the Turnbull restoration.  Bidding closes on March 26, 2026.

Note: those values are in Canadian dollars.  The exchange rate is currently $0.725.  To convert to US dollars, multiply by 0.725.

You can see these rifles and you can watch the bidding in progress.  I have attached the links below.

https://www.liveauctionworld.com/1316-WINCHESTER-MODEL-1876-NWMP-CARBINE-IN-45-75_i59296268

https://www.liveauctionworld.com/1313-WINCHESTER-MODEL-1876-NWMP-CARBINE-IN-4575_i59295857

Pete Hynard, Ontario, Canada

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TXGunNut
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March 25, 2026 - 2:11 pm
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I know Turnbull will on occasion counsel against restoration. I’m also pretty confident the consignor of the Turnbull 1876 is a bit disappointed with the current bid. I truly enjoy looking at DT’s work but commissioning his services with the intent to resell is not a good plan, IMHO. I think someday that will change, could be that change is already underway. The demographics of the purist collector seem to suggest a trend away from original, high condition specimens but for now they still seem to be bringing top dollar at the big auctions. This auction will indeed be interesting but as sometimes happens the end result may be skewed by a bidding war that may have nothing to do with the current market conditions. I’d be proud to own either rifle!

 

 

Mike

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1873man
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March 25, 2026 - 2:21 pm
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Your not comparing them correctly. If you do you take the cost of buying the original and say it sells at 7000 CAD and now you add the cost of the Turnbull restore to it.   The other one, someone had to do the same thing with it. I would guess the guy selling the restored one might be loosing money depending on how long ago he had it restored. 

Turnbulls argument about the Statue of Liberty, the Declaration of Independence and Washington Monument does not compare since they are one of a kind things and you have to do upkeep on them or they will deteriorate and disappear. 

Bob

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Researching the Winchester 1873's

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Email: [email protected]

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TXGunNut
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March 25, 2026 - 3:06 pm
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I like Turnbull’s argument but it conveniently ignores the resale value angle. The items he cites will never be for sale.

 

 

Mike

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Chuck
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March 25, 2026 - 4:14 pm
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Turnbull’s statements are just a sales pitch.  A restored gun is just that, a restored gun.  Often many parts have been replaced too.  The wood and barrel are often replaced. 

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Pete Hynard
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March 25, 2026 - 4:52 pm
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I agree with you all of you fellas.  Liberty Bell wasn’t restored to increase its market value.  It was done to preserve a historical treasure that would otherwise have been lost forever.  They didn’t just shine it up.  They broke it up, melted it down and re-cast it.  Twice!  Imagine that.
 
Back to our two rifles.  I was thinking of this as more of a market test.  Would a person in the market for a collectible Winchester prefer to have an unaltered original or a high-quality restoration?  In the case of the Kidd Family Auction, they have the choice.  They could bid on either.
 
The situation is unique in that seemingly all of the other variables involved in price-setting are exactly the same.  The vendor is the same (Kidd Auctions) and the terms and conditions of sale are the same.  The bidders are the same people, with the same knowledge, the same motivations and the same economic constraints.  Even the day was the same.  
 
It seemed to boil down to preference.
 
I made the five-hour drive to Melantchon yesterday and looked at these two guns.  I agree with the auctineer’s rating.  The unaltered orginal was in very good condition.  The bore was shiny and bright, with good rifling and only the slightest hint of roughness.  There is no doubt in my mind that it would shoot a cast bullet well.  The wood showed signs of use and wear (as a rifle with its history would) but there were no cracks, no splits, no repairs and no missing pieces.  The metal was as you see in the photo.  The action was tight and crisp and the trigger pull was light and crisp.  The Mounties had cared for this gun well.  The only flaw was the banner NWMP cartouche in the stock, which had worn away.  The NWMP cartouche was a light impression to begin with and this is common on NWMP ‘76s.
 
As for the Turnbull restoration, it was done perfectly.  It looked mint, inside and out.  Turnbull Restoration does amazing work.
 
Personally, I decided not to bid on either.  I’m a big fan of Canadian history and I was looking for a rifle that showed physical evidence of its NWMP past.  For me, the absence of a cartouche marking on the original was a serious flaw.  As for the restoration, I am of the first school of thought.  A complete restoration of the second rifle removed all traces of its past.  Even the wood was new.  Personally, I like bruises and saddle wear.  For me, the restoration had all the character of a Uberti copy.
 
The photos below show what I mean by physical evidence of Canadian history.  What you see is a Colt Model 1851 that was made in London, England in 1855 and issued to the Lower Canada Militia in 1856.  It was assigned to Troop C, Trooper No. 5.  This pistol saw service in the Fenian Raids that raided into Canada from the US in 1866.  The last photos are of a silver medal issued to Trooper L. Forgue by Queen Victoria for his service in the Fenian Raids. Maybe Trooper Forgue was Trooper No. 5.  I’m still working on that.
 
Pete

 

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TR
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March 25, 2026 - 7:50 pm
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Chuck said
Turnbull’s statements are just a sales pitch.  A restored gun is just that, a restored gun.  Often many parts have been replaced too.  The wood and barrel are often replaced. 
  

  I have to agree with Chuck. Many of the restored guns are a mix of new, old, and original parts. Most have new wood, barrel, and tube. On engraved guns sometimes even the receiver is swapped. In the case of 1 of 1000s the old barrel finds it’s way to another gun with the same serial number.

  Unless it’s got history, sentimental value, or is really rare I don’t see it. But if you do, keep the parts with the gun. T/R 

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Buck1967
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March 25, 2026 - 11:57 pm
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TR said

Chuck said
Turnbull’s statements are just a sales pitch.  A restored gun is just that, a restored gun.  Often many parts have been replaced too.  The wood and barrel are often replaced. 
  

  I have to agree with Chuck. Many of the restored guns are a mix of new, old, and original parts. Most have new wood, barrel, and tube. On engraved guns sometimes even the receiver is swapped. In the case of 1 of 1000s the old barrel finds it’s way to another gun with the same serial number.
  Unless it’s got history, sentimental value, or is really rare I don’t see it. But if you do, keep the parts with the gun. T/R 
  

I agree. If it’s restored and has multiple new parts and wood, then it isn’t really the same gun and I’d struggle giving it any original value. Having said that, I love the idea of having both an original and a TB restored rifle in a collection. I think in this case, if you had an original NWMP with all its well earned history and the restored one side by side well to me it is the best of both worlds. I think the 2 side by side are a wonderful and beautiful story board! Mad shout out and appreciation to Pete for sharing!! Excited to see the auction results!

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Buck1967
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March 26, 2026 - 1:22 am
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In the realm of crazy coincidence, I own the NWMP serial #40012 (link below) and the restored TB NWMP is 40008 and per the Cody letter was received in the warehouse the same day and shipped out on the same day and in the same order # as the TB restored one currently for sale. To add to our experiment I will offer I paid $8500 US last Sept and acquired my NWMP from Morphy’s auction. Total $10,445 with the BP!

One very massive difference we will have to factor is Morphy charges a 23% Buyers Premium while Kidd is only charging 8%. Have I mentioned how much I hate Morphy? They charge the highest fees in the Industry and provide the absolute worst service. Just hate sometimes they got the goods! 

https://auctions.morphyauctions.com/LotDetail.aspx?inventoryid=641809

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Pete Hynard
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March 26, 2026 - 9:16 pm
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Thanks for sharing that, Buck.  Nice rifle!

Pete

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Pete Hynard
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March 27, 2026 - 12:17 pm
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The bidding is over.  The unaltered original sold for $9,292.50 CAD (including buyer’s premium) and the Turnbull restoration went for $13,662.00 CAD.  That works out to $6,737.02 and $9,904.90 in US dollars.

I was surprised.  Were you?

These links will take you there:

Pete

https://www.liveauctionworld.com/1316-WINCHESTER-MODEL-1876-NWMP-CARBINE-IN-45-75_i59296268

https://www.liveauctionworld.com/1313-WINCHESTER-MODEL-1876-NWMP-CARBINE-IN-4575_i59295857

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TR
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March 27, 2026 - 12:55 pm
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  So the restored gun brought ruffly $3200 US more than the original non restore. I wonder what it cost to have the gun restored by Turnbull? Did the party that had it restored get a return or loss? If your a collector does it matter? T/R

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Chuck
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March 27, 2026 - 5:04 pm
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Last year 5 Winchesters that were restored by Rogers Winchesters sold at a Gunslingers Auction.  4 were 1873’s and the other one was a 1876.  None of them sold for what the restoration costs were.  Most sold for about half price but one did sell for 75% of the restoration cost.  I might have some info but I can’t guarantee it.  The descriptions all said that they were professionally restored.

My Mentor and Roger did a lot of guns together and I used to hang out at Rogers shop so I have a lot of knowledge of the process and costs. 

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Nevada Paul
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March 27, 2026 - 5:13 pm
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Pete Hynard said
The bidding is over.  The unaltered original sold for $9,292.50 CAD (including buyer’s premium) and the Turnbull restoration went for $13,662.00 CAD.  That works out to $6,737.02 and $9,904.90 in US dollars.
I was surprised.  Were you?
These links will take you there:
Pete
https://www.liveauctionworld.com/1316-WINCHESTER-MODEL-1876-NWMP-CARBINE-IN-45-75_i59296268
https://www.liveauctionworld.com/1313-WINCHESTER-MODEL-1876-NWMP-CARBINE-IN-4575_i59295857
  

Not surprised. ‘Bright and shiny’ will beat out ‘real and original’ in most any venue where the uneducated and ignorant masses are involved.

If those auctions were restricted to people who frequent this forum, or otherwise knowledgeable collectors, then, yes, I’d be surprised.

Paul

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steve004
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March 27, 2026 - 7:02 pm
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Chuck said
Last year 5 Winchesters that were restored by Rogers Winchesters sold at a Gunslingers Auction.  4 were 1873’s and the other one was a 1876.  None of them sold for what the restoration costs were.  Most sold for about half price but one did sell for 75% of the restoration cost.  I might have some info but I can’t guarantee it.  The descriptions all said that they were professionally restored.
My Mentor and Roger did a lot of guns together and I used to hang out at Rogers shop so I have a lot of knowledge of the process and costs. 
  

The descriptions all said that they were professionally restored.

I think there’s a lot of difference when the items are described as, “professionally restored” vs. Turnbull restored.  I’ve heard Roger’s Winchester restorations were top notch, but the Turnbull name seems to be almost magical to many buyers.  I don’t really wade into this much as I don’t like restored guns.  

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March 27, 2026 - 9:16 pm
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Depending on the timing and extent of the restoration I’d suspect the seller of the restored gun is disappointed unless it’s an estate. The sale price is probably not far from today’s cost of the restoration but I haven’t kept up with their pricing.

 

Mike

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March 27, 2026 - 10:08 pm
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Depending on the timing and extent of the restoration I’d suspect the seller of the restored gun is disappointed unless it’s an estate. The sale price is probably not far from today’s cost of the restoration but I haven’t kept up with their pricing.

 

Mike

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Smokeless powder is a passing fad! -Steve Garbe
I hate rude behavior in a man. I won't tolerate it. -Woodrow F. Call, Lonesome Dove
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Buck1967
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March 27, 2026 - 10:21 pm
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Nevada Paul said

Pete Hynard said
The bidding is over.  The unaltered original sold for $9,292.50 CAD (including buyer’s premium) and the Turnbull restoration went for $13,662.00 CAD.  That works out to $6,737.02 and $9,904.90 in US dollars.
I was surprised.  Were you?
These links will take you there:
Pete
https://www.liveauctionworld.com/1316-WINCHESTER-MODEL-1876-NWMP-CARBINE-IN-45-75_i59296268
https://www.liveauctionworld.com/1313-WINCHESTER-MODEL-1876-NWMP-CARBINE-IN-4575_i59295857
  

Not surprised. ‘Bright and shiny’ will beat out ‘real and original’ in most any venue where the uneducated and ignorant masses are involved.
If those auctions were restricted to people who frequent this forum, or otherwise knowledgeable collectors, then, yes, I’d be surprised.
Paul
  

Well, slight wrinkle here. I do frequent this Forum and I bought the restored one 😀 Apologies I ruined this experiment, as without me the previous high bidder would have won the restored rifle for about a thousand less than the original went for. He had a max bid in at $12,600 that forced me to go to $12,650 or$13,662 with buyers premium to win it. To be clear, I would not have paid that much for it BUT for the fact I already owned 40012. The exact same 1876 only 3 serial #’s away that per the Cody letter was manufactured on the same day, moved to the warehouse on the same day and sold in the same lot of 50 rifles to the RCMP on the same day. Thus these 2 rifles were likely owned and used by 2 Mounties who were friends and saw similar action. My 40012 is all original, glorious and dripping with every bit of its well earned history! The Restoration is simply a beautiful version of how this beauty looked on day one almost 150 years ago! My opinion is these 2 rifles are brothers and I had an obligation to reconnect them once again since they began life together. If I could only have one of them the original wins hands down, but together and with their shared history they really compliment each other! The reality is most of the 1876 rifles in that batch of 50 have likely been destroyed so what are the odds we reconnected these 2 almost 150 years later! Thank you brother Pete! I owe you my friend! I hope most of you can agree it would have been a travesty and historic loss to not reunite this beautiful pair!

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March 27, 2026 - 11:20 pm
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I feel so deceived! Laugh

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Chuck
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March 28, 2026 - 12:05 am
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It wasn’t an experiment.  You just proved one of our points. The travesty was when the one rifle was messed up.  I would have felt better to have the pair in original condition.

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